The latest on the 2024 presidential election: Live updates | CNN Politics

New polling from The New York Times and Siena College suggests a tight race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump in four Sun Belt states, with no clear leader in Arizona, Nevada or North Carolina, while Trump holds the edge in Georgia. 

Among registered voters, Trump leads in Georgia 51% to 44%, but in the rest, the margin falls within each poll’s margin of error: 49% Harris to 45% Trump in Arizona, 49% Harris to 46% Trump in North Carolina, and 48% Trump to 46% Harris in Nevada.

The results suggest some differences between the battleground states across the country’s southern tier, including among key demographic groups state-to-state:

Female voters: In Arizona and North Carolina, Harris has opened up wide leads among women, topping Trump 60% to 35% in Arizona and 57% to 39% in North Carolina. Those margins are more narrowly in her favor in Georgia (53% Harris to 42% Trump) and Nevada (51% Harris to 43% Trump).

Latino and Black voters: Harris fares better among Latino voters in Arizona (56% Harris to 38% Trump) than she does in Nevada (45% Harris to 44% Trump). And her support among Black voters is significantly broader in North Carolina (85% Harris to 9% Trump) than it is in Georgia (73% Harris to 20% Trump). 

White voters: Trump holds a wider edge among White voters without college degrees, a key part of his coalition, in the Southern states in this batch of polls than the Western ones. That group splits 79% Trump to 18% Harris in Georgia, and 67% Trump to 30% Harris in North Carolina, but breaks more narrowly in his favor in Nevada (59% Trump to 37% Harris) and Arizona (56% Trump to 40% Harris).

Younger voters: Voters younger than 30 break in Trump’s favor in Georgia, 51% Trump to 44% Harris, while breaking more decisively toward Harris in the other three states, 52% Harris to 36% Trump in Arizona, 53% Harris to 39% Trump in Nevada, and 56% Harris to 39% Trump in North Carolina. 

On the issues: Across all of these states, Trump holds a significant advantage over Harris as being more trusted to handle the economy (56% Trump to 41% Harris when results from all four states are combined), while Harris has a slightly larger edge on handling abortion (56% Harris to 38% Trump). On immigration, voters split 53% Trump to 43% Harris, and they break the other way by a similar margin, 52% Harris to 43% Trump, on handling democracy.